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势，债市收益率继续下探并创下新低，10年国债活跃券最低达到2.00%。不过，临近季末，政策组合拳推动权益市场快速大涨，风险偏好提升，导致债市承压，各期限品类收益率大幅上行且波动率放大。全季度看，10年国债收益率曲线下行5bp，利率整体表现优于信用。组合策略上，以商金加利率品种为主，重视相对价值挖掘，并通过灵活久期操作增厚组合业绩。往后看，短期须提防赎回的负反馈效应引发市场超调的风险。不过在经济基本面和货币政策取向未变的情况下，债市难言系统性扭转趋势。","declarationDate":"2024-10-24T16:00:00.000Z","lastUpdated":"2026-03-09T13:55:21.206Z","fund":{"_id":3000000015397,"__csrcFundId":11151,"stockCode":"015397","shortName":"博时富鸿金融债3个月定开债(015397)","masterFundShortName":"博时富鸿金融债3个月定开债","fundSecondLevel":"bond","stockType":"fund","areaCode":"cn","market":"a","tickerId":15397,"currency":"CNY","masterFundFlag":1,"lastUpdated":"2026-05-01T00:35:34.059Z","status":"normal","exchange":"jj","name":"博时富鸿金融债3个月定期开放债券型证券投资基金","inceptionDate":"2022-05-25T16:00:00.000Z","followedNum":0,"fundCollectionId":4000050050000,"setUpDate":"2022-05-25T16:00:00.000Z","setUpAssetScale":6826511187.78,"setUpShares":6826511187.78,"pinyin":"bsfhjrz3gydqkfzqxzqtzjj","managers":[{"stockCode":"db20890172","stockType":"fund_manager","exchange":"fm","tickerId":2425225360,"name":"胥艺"}]},"announcement":{"linkText":"博时富鸿金融债3个月定期开放债券型证券投资基金2024年第3季度报告","linkUrl":"http://eid.csrc.gov.cn/fund/disclose/instance_show_pdf_id.do?instanceid=1172825","linkType":"PDF","source":"csrc_pdf"}},{"_id":"69aed1497fea5b3eb051af47","date":"2024-06-29T16:00:00.000Z","stockId":3000000015397,"sao":"回顾24年上半年，债市整体走牛。年初以来，经济缓慢复苏，通胀水平低位，政策整体有定力，总量宽松有预期。债券供给节奏偏慢情况下资产荒持续演绎，债市整体下行相对顺畅，至4月下旬10年活跃券由年初2.57%下行至2.215%，创下新低。而后央行再次点名长债，导致债市回吐涨幅。5月份市场信息点颇多，央行多次点名长债、特别国债计划发行落地、地产政策密集出台，而同时4月份以来禁止手工补息政策导致金融脱媒加剧、非银资金充裕，资金分层近乎消失。市场在急跌后步入震荡阶段，配置力量使得上行空间有限，但是长端受制于喊话点位下行空间也相对有限，信用板块表现则更为强势。6月中下旬，伴随市场对于长债风险提示逐步钝化，在基本面走弱、非银资金充裕情况下推动长债向下突破关键点位，10年国债活跃券最低至2.21%，再次挑战新低。组合策略上，以商金加利率品种为主，重视相对价值挖掘，并通过灵活久期操作增厚组合业绩。","declarationDate":"2024-07-18T16:00:00.000Z","lastUpdated":"2026-03-09T13:55:21.203Z","mo":"当前宏观经济仍处于推进高质量发展、新老动能切换阶段，经济周期弹性弱化，地产链持续处于再平衡过程，微观信心与活力有待改善，内生性融资需求有待增强。基本面整体对债市仍然偏有利，资产荒格局仍然在延续，债市整体仍在趋势中。不过政策的扰动在加大，需要观察政策的变化。在私人部门缺乏加杠杆意愿的情况下，关键依然在财政，如果财政政策不出现大幅刺激，资产荒和市场预期可能仍会延续。当前海外政策环境复杂，外部压力强度亦会影响财政刺激力度，需要密切观察。","fund":{"_id":3000000015397,"__csrcFundId":11151,"stockCode":"015397","shortName":"博时富鸿金融债3个月定开债(015397)","masterFundShortName":"博时富鸿金融债3个月定开债","fundSecondLevel":"bond","stockType":"fund","areaCode":"cn","market":"a","tickerId":15397,"currency":"CNY","masterFundFlag":1,"lastUpdated":"2026-05-01T00:35:34.059Z","status":"normal","exchange":"jj","name":"博时富鸿金融债3个月定期开放债券型证券投资基金","inceptionDate":"2022-05-25T16:00:00.000Z","followedNum":0,"fundCollectionId":4000050050000,"setUpDate":"2022-05-25T16:00:00.000Z","setUpAssetScale":6826511187.78,"setUpShares":6826511187.78,"pinyin":"bsfhjrz3gydqkfzqxzqtzjj","managers":[{"stockCode":"db20890172","stockType":"fund_manager","exchange":"fm","tickerId":2425225360,"name":"胥艺"}]},"announcement":{"linkText":"博时富鸿金融债3个月定期开放债券型证券投资基金2024年中期报告","linkUrl":"http://eid.csrc.gov.cn/fund/disclose/instance_show_pdf_id.do?instanceid=1144785","linkType":"PDF","source":"csrc_pdf"}},{"_id":"69aed1497fea5b3eb051af46","date":"2024-03-30T16:00:00.000Z","stockId":3000000015397,"sao":"年初以来，经济缓慢复苏，通胀水平低位，政策整体有定力，总量宽松有预期。同时，债券供给偏慢，配置需求偏高。在此背景下，一季度债市收益率大幅下行。不过步入3月后，债市下行动能有所减弱，尤其是代表性的30年品种全月震荡为主。一方面债市前期对利多因素定价相对充分，另一方面相对前期集中利多环境市场亦开始面临变化。基本面底部缓慢修复，外需不弱，非地产链与地产链出现分化；利率供给也面临放量，成为市场隐忧；汇率也可能影响货币政策宽松节奏。不过目前债市尚未到趋势性拐点，地产链相关仍持续偏弱影响长期增长预期，市场配置需求仍然有，流动性仍合理充裕。短期而言，市场仍处于前期快速下行后的震荡阶段。从更长维度看，新老动能切换下经济周期弹性弱化，地产链将持续处于再平衡过程，微观信心与活力有待改善，资产荒仍是主线，共同决定债市风险有限。组合策略上，以商金加利率品种为主，重视相对价值挖掘，并通过灵活久期操作增厚组合业绩。一季度整体提升组合久期中枢，取得一定成效。","declarationDate":"2024-04-21T16:00:00.000Z","lastUpdated":"2026-03-09T13:55:21.200Z","fund":{"_id":3000000015397,"__csrcFundId":11151,"stockCode":"015397","shortName":"博时富鸿金融债3个月定开债(015397)","masterFundShortName":"博时富鸿金融债3个月定开债","fundSecondLevel":"bond","stockType":"fund","areaCode":"cn","market":"a","tickerId":15397,"currency":"CNY","masterFundFlag":1,"lastUpdated":"2026-05-01T00:35:34.059Z","status":"normal","exchange":"jj","name":"博时富鸿金融债3个月定期开放债券型证券投资基金","inceptionDate":"2022-05-25T16:00:00.000Z","followedNum":0,"fundCollectionId":4000050050000,"setUpDate":"2022-05-25T16:00:00.000Z","setUpAssetScale":6826511187.78,"setUpShares":6826511187.78,"pinyin":"bsfhjrz3gydqkfzqxzqtzjj","managers":[{"stockCode":"db20890172","stockType":"fund_manager","exchange":"fm","tickerId":2425225360,"name":"胥艺"}]},"announcement":{"linkText":"博时富鸿金融债3个月定期开放债券型证券投资基金2024年第1季度报告","linkUrl":"http://eid.csrc.gov.cn/fund/disclose/instance_show_pdf_id.do?instanceid=1070692","linkType":"PDF","source":"csrc_pdf"}},{"_id":"69aed1497fea5b3eb051af45","date":"2023-12-30T16:00:00.000Z","stockId":3000000015397,"sao":"回顾2023年，年初市场交易重心在于疫情达峰后经济恢复强预期和地产政策持续加码，长端利率调整后步入窄幅震荡，基本面不支持走强，但市场配置力量也导致难以下跌。二季度以来，经济在历经年初脉冲式修复后内生动能减弱、环比修复进程放缓。伴随市场由强预期走向弱现实，政策强调高质量发展，叠加资金面相对宽松和配置力量支撑，市场做多情绪逐步释放，推动收益率整体下行。在经济磨底和超预期降息的催动下10年国债活跃券于8月下旬创年内低点。而后伴随资金面超预期偏紧、稳增长政策落地，债市步入调整期。四季度的主线仍在资金面，债市在短端调整的带动下走出熊平行情。直至临近年末，市场开始演绎跨年抢跑和总量政策博弈行情，债市收益率再度快速下行。组合策略上，以商金加利率品种为主，重视相对价值挖掘，并通过灵活久期操作增厚组合业绩。","declarationDate":"2024-01-21T16:00:00.000Z","lastUpdated":"2026-03-09T13: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2023年的利率中枢或将有所上行，但上行的空间有限。在居民部门缺乏趋势性加杠杆动力，居民房贷利率和实体经济回报率偏低的大背景下，利率中枢上行的空间是有限的。在理财净值化的大背景下，信用利差可能会面临重估，2023年的信用利差较之2022年会有所上行，信用利差整体将呈分化之格局，同时经过本轮冲击，机构流动性管理意识也会进一步提升。组合依然以利率策略为主，久期保持灵活，把握超调机会，力求增厚组合业绩。","fund":{"_id":3000000015397,"__csrcFundId":11151,"stockCode":"015397","shortName":"博时富鸿金融债3个月定开债(015397)","masterFundShortName":"博时富鸿金融债3个月定开债","fundSecondLevel":"bond","stockType":"fund","areaCode":"cn","market":"a","tickerId":15397,"currency":"CNY","masterFundFlag":1,"lastUpdated":"2026-05-01T00:35:34.059Z","status":"normal","exchange":"jj","name":"博时富鸿金融债3个月定期开放债券型证券投资基金","inceptionDate":"2022-05-25T16:00:00.000Z","followedNum":0,"fundCollectionId":4000050050000,"setUpDate":"2022-05-25T16:00:00.000Z","setUpAssetScale":6826511187.78,"setUpShares":6826511187.78,"pinyin":"bsfhjrz3gydqkfzqxzqtzjj","managers":[{"stockCode":"db20890172","stockType":"fund_manager","exchange":"fm","tickerId":2425225360,"name":"胥艺"}]},"announcement":{"linkText":"博时富鸿金融债3个月定期开放债券型证券投资基金2022年年度报告","linkUrl":"http://eid.csrc.gov.cn/fund/disclose/instance_show_pdf_id.do?instanceid=865114","linkType":"PDF","source":"csrc_pdf"}},{"_id":"69aed1497fea5b3eb051af40","date":"2022-09-29T16:00:00.000Z","stockId":3000000015397,"sao":"三季度利率先下后上。7月初央行逆回购缩量引发市场担忧，利率短暂调整后在资金面宽松、疫情反弹、地产风波、机构配置需求等共振下有所下行。后续政治局会议未有超预期政策出台，多头情绪延续。8月公布的社融数据显示实体融资需求十分疲弱，紧接着MLF和OMO超预期双降，经济数据亦较弱，短期市场阶段性迎来最大利好，市场多头热情进一步点燃，推动行情演绎。市场急涨后止盈力量出现，在稳增长政策部署、多地出台地产政策、资金面小幅收敛等利空因素推动下，债市小幅上行，小长假前在海外债市上涨、人民币贬值压力、地产多项政策齐发下出现快速调整，收益率上行。组合以利率债为主，三季度灵活运用久期策略，把握利率下行机会，有效增厚组合业绩。","declarationDate":"2022-10-25T16:00:00.000Z","lastUpdated":"2026-03-09T13:55:21.183Z","fund":{"_id":3000000015397,"__csrcFundId":11151,"stockCode":"015397","shortName":"博时富鸿金融债3个月定开债(015397)","masterFundShortName":"博时富鸿金融债3个月定开债","fundSecondLevel":"bond","stockType":"fund","areaCode":"cn","market":"a","tickerId":15397,"currency":"CNY","masterFundFlag":1,"lastUpdated":"2026-05-01T00:35:34.059Z","status":"normal","exchange":"jj","name":"博时富鸿金融债3个月定期开放债券型证券投资基金","inceptionDate":"2022-05-25T16:00:00.000Z","followedNum":0,"fundCollectionId":4000050050000,"setUpDate":"2022-05-25T16:00:00.000Z","setUpAssetScale":6826511187.78,"setUpShares":6826511187.78,"pinyin":"bsfhjrz3gydqkfzqxzqtzjj","managers":[{"stockCode":"db20890172","stockType":"fund_manager","exchange":"fm","tickerId":2425225360,"name":"胥艺"}]},"announcement":{"linkText":"博时富鸿金融债3个月定期开放债券型证券投资基金2022年第3季度报告","linkUrl":"http://eid.csrc.gov.cn/fund/disclose/instance_show_pdf_id.do?instanceid=805869","linkType":"PDF","source":"csrc_pdf"}}]}