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买入了生成式AI行业的龙头个股。现在回头看，行业的判断是正确的，但节奏把握的不好，导致净值在去年下半年开始出现了较为明显的回撤。","declarationDate":"2024-01-18T16:00:00.000Z","lastUpdated":"2026-03-09T13:53:57.867Z","mo":"我们判断今年市场的投资机会在于以下几个行业：一、生成式AI行业蓬勃发展带来的算力投资机会仍然会继续，且龙头公司已经进入业绩连续超预期的阶段，投资体验会改善；应用的投资机会还需要观察。二、受益卡脖子环节进口替代的行业在经历了回调后，投资机会重新开始显现。三、高质量发展阶段国内偏刚需的行业以及中长期产业出海的投资机会。四、利率下行阶段高股息的投资价值会延续。　　当前时间点我们仍然坚持“投资景气行业龙头，追求戴维斯双击”的方法。选择那些长期空间大、短期业绩好的公司，回避短期主题催化透支明显的公司。这种方法核心是追求业绩超预期带来的估值业绩双升，长期超额收益明显，但在讲逻辑不讲业绩的阶段会相对弱势，但拉长时间我们方法的风险收益比仍然会突出。　　影响市场的因子太多，每个阶段都有不同的因子主导市场。我们要追求更高的胜率，就需要找出长期最客观的因子来做判断。我们坚持投资符合时代产业趋势的行业，特别是其中业绩增长出色的公司，努力获取超额收益。　　本基金作为全市场基金，我们将按照我们投资景气行业龙头的投资方法，灵活选择业绩超预期概率更高的行业，力争把握中国经济转型的历史机遇。","fund":{"_id":3000000014807,"__csrcFundId":10862,"stockCode":"014807","shortName":"宏利景气智选18个月持有混合 (014807)","masterFundShortName":"宏利景气智选18个月持有混合 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